Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Caldwell raised $344,861 during the same period and reported $717,678 in cash on hand. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. We use early returns and polling data to estimate in real time the outcome of the elections for Senate and House control. Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? She is expected to win easily in November against Joe Akana, the winner of the Republican primary, for the seat being vacated by Representative Kai Kahele, a Democrat who opted to run for governor but lost. All rights reserved. By comparison, Vicky Cayetano a business entrepreneur and former Hawaii first lady would receive 19% of the votes, followed by U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele with 16%. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. The overwhelming support in the Hawaii Poll comes six months ahead of the primary election, when voters will have their first official say on which candidate should succeed Gov. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Albert Sun We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. #7-500
. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. As of Aug. 10, about 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to Hawaiis Office of Elections. Greens high numbers are similar to the January Hawaii Poll that was conducted before Kahele gave up his congressional reelection bid to instead announce his gubernatorial candidacy in May. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. Cayetano reported $655,407 in cash on hand. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. On the Republican side, Kona business consultant Paul Morgan raised $6,300 and reported $4,092 in cash on hand. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is six hours ahead of Eastern time. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Nov. 8, 2022, The shift to the right has been dramatic among counties in Florida reporting nearly all their votes. The attention is focused on races for the governors office and a House seat. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. . Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaiis next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii Poll shows. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Read more Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. See the rest of our predictions. Maggie Astor , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. Hes a great guy, they said.. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. In contrast, Kahele had stronger numbers among the younger group. Ron DeSantis winning the early vote in Miami-Dade County which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points just six years ago is yet another sign of growing Republican strength among Hispanic voters. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Hawaii Governor Midterm Election 2022: Live Results and Updates Hawaii races senate house governor November 8, 2022 Hawaii Governor Election Results 2022 d Projected winner Josh. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. Behind every great man is a great woman.. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. Heres the state of the closest races: But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Hawaii Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November 8th . . Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washingtons 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Democratic Primary . Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. In November 2020, initial results werent released for more than four hours after polls officially closed because of extremely long lines in some parts of the state. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Print subscriber but without online access? There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination to challenge Mr. Schatz in November. . Telephone: 808-529-4747. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more Nate Cohn In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. Follow along here Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. Asked who they would vote for, 58% said Green, 11% said Caldwell and 8% said Cayetano; 23% said they were undecided. Log in now to continue reading this story. Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls Green reported $1,125,877 in cash on hand as of Dec. 31. Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. Army veteran Lynn Mariano took in no contributions and had a negative balance of $176. Read more. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. fresh out of the oven. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. . Thats almost a third of all ballots sent out this cycle and more than all mail ballots returned in the entire 2018 primary election. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. [7] Registration can be completed in the following ways: " Online: Visit olvr.hawaii.gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Candidate Total Votes Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Outside groups supporting Mr. Branco ran attack ads condemning Ms. Tokuda over her 2012 endorsement from the National Rifle Association, though she subsequently supported gun control measures in the State Senate. Janet Mills of Maine. Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. . Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. Maggie Astor Print subscriber but without online access? Lt. Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. votes. The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. On the Republican side, 48% of Republican primary voters would pick James Duke Aiona a former deputy prosecutor, judge and two-term lieutenant governor. Last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives, running for Hawaii's 1st congressional district, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona", "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. In the Republican race for governor, former Lt. Gov. However, if my rating for this Roughly 1 in 5 of those polled were still unsure who they planned to support. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. It is his to lose, Moore said. Much of their sparring was over who would be a stronger advocate for such measures. Alicia Parlapiano In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. Governor and Lieutenant Governor. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. At the same time, the percentage of Democratic voters who do not recognize Greens name fell from 7% in January to 2% in July. >> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. How he presents himself in the campaign is important, but people already like him. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r