And just how profitable has Villanova been under Wright? The Hawks projected starting lineup is PG Trae Young, SG Bogdan Bogdanovic, SF Cam Reddish, PF John Collins and C Gorgui Dieng. Tip-off at the FTX Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. Tucker (calf) and Caleb Martin (ankle) as questionable. That will undoubtedly help them beat Miami as the Heat sit 30th in points per game (108.8). They say you cant keep a good man down, and that was certainly the case with Young in Game 2. That includes top-tier marks in free throw accuracy (82.8%) and turnovers (13.5 per game), setting the stage for the team's defense to flummox opponents. 8 seed in Cleveland, go into an early game in South Beach and get walloped after they cant hit the broad side of a barn in the first half, while the Heat have the best shooting performance relative to statistical expectation of any team in the Game 1s. This should be a challenge for Atlanta, but they could certainly rise to the occasion. section: | slug: heat-vs-hawks-prediction-odds-line-spread-2023-nba-picks-mlk-day-best-bets-from-proven-model | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! Even more impressive, Miami took 44 threes and made 22 of them. They are still suffering from injuries and COVID absences, but for the most part, they have their core roster. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. The Hawks will be down a player of their own on Friday night, as center Clint Capela will miss his third straight game with a hyperextended knee. Its time to continue our NBA odds series and make a Heat-Hawks prediction and pick. 1 in defensive rating and No. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Their path included an upset of the top-seeded Philadelphia 76ers and featured a remarkable three road victories to get the job done. Even though the Hawks rank 20th in the NBA in net rating, Washington is somehow worse, clocking in at No. Heat: None.Hawks: Lou Williams G (Questionable), Clint Capela C (Out).Find our latest NBA injury reports. NBA playoff action continues on Friday night with the top-seeded Heat looking to move one step closer to the second round against the eighth-seeded Hawks. Did you know that if you parlayed todays NBA Heat vs. Hawks predictions and picks in a single-game parlay, you could win $58.42 on a $10 bet? If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. The Hawks will need shooters like Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, and Bogdan Bogdanovic, among others, to step up as a group and hit these shots that the Heat defense will give them. The Miami Heat have had a very solid start to the season. section: | slug: heat-vs-hawks-prediction-odds-line-2022-nba-playoff-picks-game-5-best-bets-from-model-on-86-58-run | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | Atlanta surrenders the fifth-most points in the paint in the entire NBA, and why would tonight be any different? The Heat have clinched East's top seed and likely won't have their top players available on Friday night. Facebook. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. Atlanta is 1-4 straight up (SU), 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and 2-3 Over/Under (O/U) with the third-worst net rating at minus-9.7 in January. Atlantas dominance at home is, without question, the No. Pick: Trae Young Over 26.5 points (-114 at FanDuel). The return of John Collins, whos still rounding into form after missing Game 1 due to injury, should also give the Hawks some extra scoring punch. After a challenging first few months of the season, the Miami Heat have found their rhythm, securing victories in seven of their last 10 games. Free trialToday's NBA Games: Betting InformationNBA odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook. Miami also forced 19 turnovers with its relentless, swarming defense, prompting its lead to balloon to 16 points in the second half. One key player in this matchup who isnt listed on the injury report: Max Strus. Based on shooting accuracy, they finally outplayed an opponent during the preseason. Sportsbooks are a little more faith in the Hawks in Game 3 now that they are playing in front of their own fans. The Heat fell to the Hornets 108-103 on the road on Saturday and failed to cover as 6.5-point favorites. Play now! Also see:Bet Slippin Podcast: NBA January 14 breakdown. But, he is now off the injury report. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Take the Under! at It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. The biggest concern for this Heat team is injuries. Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. The Miami Heat (55-29 SU, 48-35-1 ATS) visit the Atlanta Hawks (45-41, 39-47) at State Farm Arena on Friday as they look to go up 3-0 in their first-round Eastern Conference series. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Heat vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions. However, ten of these players are out because head coach Eric Spoelstra is wanting them to rest. LEANto theOVER 220.5 (-115)for a one-third unit if at all, because Miamis point spread is my favorite wager in this game. Young was especially dynamic in Atlanta this year, as he averaged 30.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 9.5 assists playing in the Highlight Factory.. Miami beats up on bad defenses and Atlanta has the third-worst adjusted defensive rating. Thats the bottom line. Atlanta really needs their stars to step up if they want to start winning games. As of Thursday, the Heat have clinched the top seed in the Eastern Conference, and consequently, the Heat have listed quite a few players on their injury report for Friday as it is unclear how many players they will rest. The Heat are 16-19 in Eastern Conference games. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Try selecting a different location. Bet now! Swiss Bank averaged 11.5 points and 10 rebounds against Miami this season, and his presence was sorely missed in Game 2 as Jimmy Butler exploded for 45 points on a dizzying variety of baseline drives, coast-to-coast layups, and uncontested dunks. The Hawks will undoubtedly look like a different team at home on Friday. Soobum Im/Getty Images. Copyright 2023 Dimers. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. All Rights Reserved. Bet now! With so many uncertainties surrounding who will play for the Heat, I would either prefer a small play on the Hawks or a play on Max Strus player props. And, Kevin Huerter and DeAndre Hunter are listed as questionable to play. The Hawks have been terrible on the road this season. Young is over this number in seven straight regular . Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as a 1-point road favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 223 in the latest Heat vs. Hawks odds. That includes huge wins over playoff teams like Milwaukee, Minnesota, Boston, Phoenix, Chicago, Toronto, Memphis, and Brooklyn. Before you make any Hawks vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine. Also, Victor Oladipo is out due to a quadriceps injury. 25 in the league in free throw creation (22.0 per game). Double Down, Ohio! The Over/Under is currently set at 223.5. SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 221 combined points. And which side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations? Neptune spent seven seasons on Wrights staff at Villanova before taking over as the head coach of Fordham last year. Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. If they can play with as much intensity in the regular season as they have during the preseason, the team will be one of the top contenders in the Eastern Conference. Strus has been a key part of the Heats recent surge since that four-game losing streak as he was inserted into the starting five for Duncan Robinson, and the Heat have won five in a row since. If the Heat are without more key players due to rest, the Heats defense could be a step slow without key connectors, as we saw during the Heats four-game losing streak a few weeks ago. But the market reflects a huge gap between these two teams and we basically have three straight halves where the Hawks have hung in, with the series headed to Atlanta where the Hawks have been way . Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. Even though I think the Heat win handily, Miami (-200) is too expensive for any NBA regular-season, money line favorite, especially one playing against a team that just went to the conference finals last season. That's right, our predictive analytics model then compares those odds (aka Vegas odds) against its own probabilities to find value in the markets, which allows us to produce the most authoritative NBA betting previews and beat the public and the sportsbooks to the punch. If the Heat win and cover as short home underdogs, it will be because their shooters step up and they have enough key defenders available to keep their stingy defense intact. Regarding the injury report, this includes Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Marcus Garrett, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Markieff Morris, Duncan Robinson, PJ Tucker and Omer Yurtseven. The Wizards are also just a game ahead of the Bulls for the No . Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. Miami is very solid on the defensive glass, securing 72.8% of missed shots from opponents and limiting the opposition to 12.7 second-chance points per game. ET. Meanwhile, last Friday, in the Hawks 91-87 road win over the Grizzlies, John Collins and Bogdan Bogdanovic each scored 16 points. Through the first half of the year, they have managed to win 25 games and lose only 15. The Heat also rank in the top three of the league in free throw prevention (20.7 attempts per game), turnovers created (16.4 per game), and steals (8.4 per game). If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. After the Wright news, they have moved to 22/1 odds. Based on trusted machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Heat-Hawks NBA game 10,000 times. The Heat, who were 2.5-point underdogs, clobbered the Hawks 115-91 in Atlanta in the opener of . The is the final preseason game for Atlanta, whereas Miamis final exhibition contest for the 2021-22 NBA season is tomorrow against the Celtics. Additionally, on the stat sheet, Miami shot 39-for-93 (41.9%) from the field and 14-for-42 (33.3%) from three-point range. CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. Atlanta lists Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) and Clint Capela (knee) as questionable, while Lou Williams (back) has been ruled out. Miami has a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series after thrashing Atlanta 115-105 on Tuesday behind Jimmy Butlers career postseason-high 45 points. The Hawks beat the Toronto Raptors 114-103 Saturday, covering as a 7.5-point road underdog. Embiid is second in the league averaging 33.0 points per game. The 60-year-old Wright is one of the few college basketball coaches to retire while still in the prime of their coaching career. Odds Shark Staff April 22, 2022. The Philadelphia 76ers head south to face the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Wednesday night with tip-off set for 7:40 ET. Must be 21 or older to gamble. Claim Now, B) New users can get two risk-free bets up to $2,000 at PointsBet! Despite being the top seed in the East, the Miami Heat enter the playoffs with something to prove after a . Danilo Gallinari had 11 points, 10 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 21 minutes as well. Through the first half of the year, they have a losing record with only 17 wins and 22 losses. A year after advancing to the Eastern Conference finals, the Atlanta Hawks find themselves in a potential elimination game in the first round of the 2022 NBA playoffs on Tuesday night against the Miami Heat. No team has been hotter at home over the past three months than the Hawks, who have won 20 of their past 23 games in Atlanta dating back to January 17. Before making any Hawks vs. Heat picks, be sure tosee the NBA playoff 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model. In the previous matchup, Miami won by nine, and Young scored an unimpressive 22 points on 25% shooting. The Miami Heat will travel to take on the Atlanta Hawks. Prediction: Heat -1.5 (-110 at DraftKings). It's only a click away, so why not see for yourself? They are missing Kyle Lowry and Tyler Herro, it's a big revenge spot for the Hawks, and the Hawks have won two . James is a Basketball Insiders contributor. He posted a 520-197 (.725) record during his time at Villanova, winning eight Big East regular-season titles and four Big East Tournament crowns. ET. Please gamble responsibly. Our NBA betting picks believe we'll see more of that this afternoon, with Adebayo set for another big outing. Heat vs Hawks Prediction. The regular season for the 2021-22 NBA season begins next Tuesday. , Boston, Phoenix, Chicago, Toronto, Memphis, and Brooklyn John Collins and Bogdan each., Minnesota, Boston, Phoenix, Chicago, Toronto, Memphis, and that was certainly the case Young! Up to $ 2,000 at PointsBet, Toronto, Memphis, and Brooklyn has. Say you cant keep a good man down, and Young scored unimpressive! Absences, but they could certainly rise to the occasion spent seven seasons on staff! 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