The state's new highest daily toll of deaths was 901 on August 26. A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. Florida Gov. 617-573-8428 Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Republican Governorrunningfor his old job, leads 57% to DeSantis 43% in a head-to-head matchup. 1:48 Florida Gov. The Covid States Project is a consortium of academics and pollsters who have been tracking the approval ratings of Americas governors throughout the pandemic. DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. COVID-19 is crushing red states. The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. His national approval is33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll. As of September 2, Florida is ranked 20th among U.S. states with the highest vaccination rates. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4 | 2014: Scott (R) +1.1. Eighty-three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor, down from 87 percent in July. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. In the past month, Trumps best result is a 42-38 percent lead in a May Redfield & Wilton survey. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. Its new record for most new cases reported in a single day occurred on August 10 with 56,610 newly reported cases. Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. Fabrizio admits as much in responding to a Newsweek request for comment, in which he provided both the survey results for the poll mentioned above, as well as a more recent one. And similarly to the Fabrizio poll, the margin of error here, +/- 3.67 percent, far exceeds Crist's apparent lead of 1.2 percent. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. At the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance. Finally, DeSantis's popularity is also evident from the fact that he continues to draw in impressive sums of money from his supporters, raising more than $113 million during his re-election campaign cycle as of April. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. Andall this when Trump is the only Republican really running. However, Demings hasnt risen above 41% and still struggles with statewide name recognition, with 20% of likely midterm voters saying they have not heard of her and an additional 22% indicating that they have heard her name but have not formed an opinion. Whether these approval numbers will translate to electoral losses remains to be seen. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. Republicans only agree at 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives. The public is not sympathetic tothe Capitol rioters of 2021, with68 percent disapproving, including majorities ofall demographic and ideological groups 58 percent amongRepublicans;52 percent think Trump had a lot or some responsibility, including majoritiesor pluralities of alldemographic groups; just 24 percent thinkhe had no responsibility. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. The budget, DeSantis explained, continues our commitment to supporting the brave men and women in law enforcement, invests in our K-12 education for students and teachers, and preserves and protects Floridas natural resources all while maintaining record reserves and enacting the largest tax relief in state history: The state, he suggested, is forging ahead championing freedom first policies, despite the hardships rooted in Washington, DC, at the hands of the Biden administration. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. DeSantis has faced opposition amongst school districts and businesses in his state. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. I can't find anything on RCP about Harris' approval ratings, much to my surprise. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. That is bad, but Trump is worse. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. Meanwhile, among the 10 states where governors have lost the least, seven governors are Democrats and only 3 are Republicans. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Politics and International Relations. DeSantis also leads all other potential Republican candidates. DeSantis is also leading the field in the 2022 race for governor, where he tops Democratic challenger Charlie Crist 48%-41%, as well as Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez (3%) and Libertarian Hector Roos (1%), with 7% of voters undecided. In Idaho, so many unvaccinated people got serious cases of Covid that they ran out of ICU beds, and patients were rushed to nearby Washington State. Trumps totals are lagging far behind his approval ratings among Republicans. pic.twitter.com/0rWWXZBff4, Team DeSantis (@teamrondesantis) June 2, 2022, Politicsapproval ratingJoe BidenRon DeSantis. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. He still has, as of September, a 60% approval rating as the Appendix shows. First, a different Quinnipiac poll found that regardless of how few Floridians approve of his performance, his approval rating is still higher than Bidens in the state. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials MELBOURNE, FL February 26, 2019 Gov. Morning Consult noted that before Kabul fell to the Taliban, Biden still had a net-positive approval rating of 51%. By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. He is going to RUN AWAY with this election. Youd have Rubio as the ranking Republican on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and the two favorites to win the 2024 Republican nomination for president in DeSantis and Trump. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. It's a very serious addiction. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Its so bad here, today was the first day of school for us in Dade County, Im starting Sophomore year, and I have a runny nose, so I might have COVID. But if thats the case, why doesTrump seem so panicky these days? Try looking in the mirror for once." Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good ways to catapult yourself to your partys nomination. Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. This would explain their hardline positions on Covid. Bidens approval numbers have collapsed, but Trump has barely benefited. DeSantisis in office, pursuing actual policy, offering real alternatives rather than justcomplaints; heis capturing the fancy ofsome inthe media andsomecelebrities such as Bill Maher and Elon Musk things thatused to be Trumps territory. Forty-eight percent of voters in Florida and Texas approve of their respective governors job performance, the survey found. By ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Office of Public Affairs By the end of August, 14 percent disapproveda 5 percent increase. The state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases. Basically imo a blank face Democrat. Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. A Phillips Academy poll in May showed the incumbent edging ahead by just one point, suggesting that the race may indeed be tightening. Before the summer, the state's previous all-time high of newly reported cases in a single day was 31,518 cases on January 2. Among Republicans, 85 percent approve of the Governor while 10 percent disapprove. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. When it comes to the way DeSantis is handling the public schools, voters give DeSantis a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. In this photo, DeSantis speaks during an event to give out bonuses to first responders held at the Grand Beach Hotel Surfside on August 10 in Surfside, Florida. Another polling outfit shows Gov. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. DeSantis has the momentum and is playing a disciplined long game. Most young men are single. but itd be super super close. According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. Seventy-three percent of Democrats now disapprove of the job he is doing as governor, up from 70 percent in July. Normally, a28-point lead would be cause for celebration, but not for Trump. Note: States identified in red with an R in parentheses have Republican governors; states in blue with a D in parentheses have Democratic governors. On July 1, the state reported 2,116 COVID-19 hospitalizations, according to data from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. On August 31, the state reported 15,949 COVID-19 hospitalizationsa 653 percent increase. Some have also suggested that Fabrizio's long-standing association with Trump also puts a question mark over the reliability of the poll. Rubios lead over Demings has shrunk from 49%-41% in January to 45%-41% today. Jacob Ogles Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. Fabrizio's history with Trump doesn't necessarily discredit the poll, but given Trump's potential future stand-off against DeSantis in the primaries, it does mean the private polling results should be treated with some skepticism. Greg Gatlin Term Limits. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. But since Northam cant run again, the Democratic candidate, former Governor Terry McAuliffe, is in a tight race with wealthy businessman and Republican nominee Glenn Youngkin. But claims that DeSantis is already falling behind his opponent are at the very least premature. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". Trump has done a number on Pence within the GOP. But lack of discipline, impatience and self-pity are conspiring to drag him down. In the race for United States Senate, incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio (45%) leads Congresswoman Val Demings (41%), with Libertarian Dennis Misigoy, Independent Steven Grant, and Independent Tuan TQ Nguyen receiving 1% each, with 9% undecided. 73 Tremont Street Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. He never takes responsibility for himself. For his part, Youngkin is trying to change the subject to education, especially hot-button issues like critical race theory. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. The mercurial rise of Ron DeSantis is the Democrats fault. Primary: August 23, 2022. Greg Abbott (R) have slipped in popularity since July, according to a survey from, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, LA Mayor Karen Bass endorses Barbara Lee for Senate, Hispanic Caucus picks Linda Snchez to lead campaign arm, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything related to him: Peter Strzok. 2018: DeSantis (R) +0.4|2014: Scott (R) +1.1, RCP Senate Map|Senate Polls|Generic Congressional Vote|RCP Governor Map|Governor Polls|All 2022 Polls, RCP Average:DeSantis +9.6RCP Ranking:Leans GOPKey 2022 Races:Senate|DeSantis vs. Crist, 2020:President|FL-7|FL-13|FL-15|FL-16|FL-262018:Governor|Senate|FL-7|FL-15|FL-16|FL-18|FL-26|FL-272016:President|Senate|FL-7|FL-13|FL-18|FL-262014:Governor|FL-2|FL-18|FL-262012:President|Senate|House2010:Governor|Senate|House2008:Pres|FL-8|FL-16|FL-21|FL-24|FL-25, All Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Fried Polling Data.